48 15 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
902 -37 Strength Momentum |
961 53.2(26) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/19/15 | Onate | 0.000 | 859 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 971 | 60% | |
08/22/15 | Cathedral | W 2- 1 | --- | --- | --- | |||
08/28/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.000 | 1152 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+2) | 986 | 13% | |
08/28/15 | at Onate ?? | 0.000 | 859 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 840 | 54% | |
08/29/15 | at Deming | 0.000 | 584 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1109 | 88% | |
09/01/15 | Gadsden | 0.001 | 1013 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 998 | 34% | |
09/08/15 | Alamogordo | 0.003 | 1005 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 994 | 35% | |
09/12/15 | Deming | 0.007 | 584 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-2) | 783 | 90% | |
09/15/15 | at Gadsden | 0.011 | 1013 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 867 | 28% | |
09/16/15 | at Deming | 0.003 | 584 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1109 | 88% | |
09/22/15 | at Belen ! | 0.002 | 593 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1277 | 88% | |
09/26/15 | Los Lunas | 0.062 | 931 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 957 | 48% | |
09/29/15 | at Chaparral | 0.091 | 972 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 947 | 34% | |
10/03/15 | Valencia !! | 0.144 | 1075 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 1029 | 25% | |
10/06/15 | Centennial | 0.186 | 961 | W 5- 3 | Better (+2) | 1022 | 43% | |
10/10/15 | Belen | 0.025 | 593 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1258 | 90% | |
10/13/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.357 | 931 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 976 | 41% | |
10/17/15 | Chaparral | 0.476 | 972 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 877 | 41% | |
10/22/15 | at Valencia | 0.623 | 1075 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 898 | 20% | |
10/24/15 | at Centennial ? | 0.727 | 961 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 891 | 36% | |
10/31/15 | at Chaparral | 0.916 | 972 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 897 | 34% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 961, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 918
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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