2015 Season results for Santa Teresa (BV,3-5A)

48   15   5
Rank in
State, Class, District
902     -37
Strength     Momentum
961   53.2(26)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  13W   7L   1T 
District  6W   3L   1T 
Expected  12:   7+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/19/15 Onate 0.000859W 2- 0 Expected (+1) 971 60%
08/22/15 Cathedral   W 2- 1 ------ ---
08/28/15 at Las Cruces 0.0001152L 0- 1 Expected (+2) 986 13%
08/28/15 at Onate ?? 0.000859L 0- 1 Worse (-1) 840 54%
08/29/15 at Deming 0.000584W 7- 0 Expected (+4)1109 88%
09/01/15 Gadsden 0.0011013W 2- 1 Better (+2) 998 34%
09/08/15 Alamogordo 0.0031005W 2- 1 Better (+2) 994 35%
09/12/15 Deming 0.007584W 2- 1 Expected (-2) 783 90%
09/15/15 at Gadsden 0.0111013L 0- 2 Expected (-1) 867 28%
09/16/15 at Deming 0.003584W 7- 0 Expected (+4)1109 88%
09/22/15 at Belen ! 0.002593W 10- 0 Expected (+7)1277 88%
09/26/15 Los Lunas 0.062931W 1- 0 Better (+1) 957 48%
09/29/15 at Chaparral 0.091972T 1- 1 Better (+1) 947 34%
10/03/15 Valencia !! 0.1441075W 2- 1 Better (+3)1029 25%
10/06/15 Centennial 0.186961W 5- 3 Better (+2)1022 43%
10/10/15 Belen 0.025593W 10- 0 Expected (+7)1258 90%
10/13/15 at Los Lunas 0.357931W 2- 1 Better (+1) 976 41%
10/17/15 Chaparral 0.476972L 0- 1 Expected (0) 877 41%
10/22/15 at Valencia 0.6231075L 1- 3 Expected (0) 898 20%
10/24/15 at Centennial ? 0.727961L 1- 2 Expected (0) 891 36%
10/31/15 at Chaparral 0.916972L 0- 1 Expected (0) 897 34%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 961, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 918
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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